Use in food security models
M 2. MAPPING THE START, END AND LENGTH OF THE GROWING SEASON USING THE NDVI
1. Learning objectives and requirementes
The requirements for this topic are:
- basic knowledge of agro-meteorology and vegetation dynamics.
- understanding of the vegetation index and its behavior in time (topic I4,W9).
- to be able to display images and create difference images (topic W3)
- understanding of the principles of batch processing in WinDisp (topic W6).
- to know how to create color tables in WinDisp (topic W8).
2.1 Importance of the growing season assessment
Monitoring the length of the growing season is an important objective of agrometeorological measurements. The length of the growing season is related to crop production levels (Sivakumar, 1988, Kassam and Andrews,1975, Jones and Stockinger , 1972), and to perennial vegetation / rangeland production (Townshend & Justice, 1986) . An estimated start , end or length of the growing season is used in food security models (FEWS, 1993, Coulibaly, 1995) and can be used in climatic models (Nijhuis and Groten, 1997).
Instead of measuring the phenology of vegetation directly, agrometeorologists always have based their assessment on measurement and modeling of rainfall, evaporation and soil water balances (Sivakumar, 1987,1988,1992, Diepen, van et al., 1992 ,etc). FAO (1978) defined the growing period as the period during a year, when precipitation exceeds half of the potential evapotranspiration, plus a period required to evapotranspire
an assumed 100 mm of water from excess moisture from previous decades (or less, if little or no residual moisture is available).
Using rainfall data
models represent assumed vegetation
using remote Sensing to monitor vegetation
Q 1 Do you know the meaning of evapotranspiration and difference between
potential and actual evapotranspiration (ETp / ETa) ?
F If not, try to find some basic agrometeorological literature
Measuring rainfall has the advantage that long data time series are available, making probability assessments possible. If station data are available, modelling can be done through interpolation for any spatial resolution and for any time resolution using a dynamic modeling approach (e.g. Driessen,1992). It also avoids to take into account spatial heterogeneity of vegetation cover, so that modeling can be done for any real or hypothetical cropping system, and for all climatic conditions. Also the occurrence of excessive rainfall can best be measured with ground station data. Therefore agrometeorological crop water models remain an important tool in land evaluation and agricultural research.
Q 2 Which agrometeorological models have been used in your country ?
F Try to find applications in literature and check with the agro-
meteorological office and agronomic research institutions.
A rainfall-based agrometeorological assessment of the growing season however only represents a model of assumed vegetation cover and phenology. In absence of information on real water availability to vegetation, monitoring is done on a basis of a rainfall -evapotranspiration ratio (the moisture index), often by using an assumed water holding capacity of the soil (AWC). In some semi arid zones, however rainfall shows such a high spatial variability, that rainfall values extracted from stations of a distance of more than 10 km are not better than long term average rainfall values (Dugdale and Milford , 1986 for sahelian areas). The factor most difficult to estimate is the run-off coefficient, which highly varies in space and time, especially on loamy soils of semi arid zones with a tendency of surface crusting (Karnieli,1994, Lamachère , 1990 ).
Q 3 To how many rainfall stations do you have easy access in your country?
Which is the average size of an area they have to represent ?
F Check topic W 4, paragr.5.1: your answers to the questions Q 9-11
Therefore it is useful to develop methods to monitor vegetation development directly by remote sensing, using a vegetation index. It can be predicted, that direct vegetation monitoring will replace some functions of classical rainfall based meteorology because of the following trends:
phenological and crop
Different criteria for defining the start and end of the growing season
Summary of different definitions used in literature
Defining the start and the end of the growing season using the vegetation index
For the start
Using WinDisp to map the start of the growing season
Possible start per decade
Series/ Minimum to calculate final image
Batch editing, insert algebraic expression
“Normal” start of the growing season in
Doing it yourself for
For your own country
Differences from the normal start
Start of the growing season in 1996 in
Decision rules to determine the end of the growing season
Selection of images
Editing the batch file
End of the
The normal end of the
Doing it yourself
Mapping the length of the growing season
Normal length of the growing season in
2.2 Remote sensing based vegetation monitoring methods
A satelllite vegetation model can be based on METEOSAT rainfall or evapotranspiration estimates (Seguin et al., 1986, Rosema,1990). In a data scarce environment it has a better spatial resolution than models based on interpolation of meteorological station data (5 km). The accuracy of rainfall estimates however still seems to be more appropriate for climatic models than for vegetation and crop monitoring (Milford & Dugdale, 1989). Rainfall estimates have however shown to be least accurate during the most crucial period of the year, namely during the start of the growing season (Diallo & Turpeinen, 1988). Rainfall Estimate (RFE) images , which are satellite estimations merged with ground observations may be more reliable. However the error of +/- 60 mm/decade is too high to detect the start of the the growing season, since we know, that a rainfall event of 15 to 25 mm during an appropriate period can already be enough for farmers to start sowing.
Sivakumar (1988,1992), using interpolated rainfall data, and Martini (1993), using METEOSAT rainfall estimates, developed maps of the length of the growing season. They apply it to calculate recommended sowing dates for farmers , which is a useful contribution to agricultural research and land use planning. This valuable application should however not be confused with monitoring of the actual crop and vegetation development as basis for food security early warning.
In the following paragraph we will map the estimated start, end and length of the growing season using using a relatively simple method based on vegetation index data.
3. Defining the start and the end of the growing season
3.1 Phenological cycle
Different vegetation types and crops have different phenological cycles, largly depending on the climate of the country, but also of terrain and soil types and human management. The figure on the next page is an example of the phenological cycles of cereals, grasses and trees and shrubs in the Sudanian zone, which is a climatological zone with 650 to 1000 mm stretching through the center and south of the Sahelian countries.
Q 4 Check for the main climatic zones of your own country :
What is the normal length of the growing season in your country/area ?
When is the first and the latest possible date for sowing rainfed crops ?
When is the first and last harvesting date for important rainfed crops ?
When do trees normally start to develop leaves ?
When is there a generalized development of natural vegetation ?
In which micro-areas is there a very early vegetation development ?
T 1 Improve upon the crop calendar available on the internet  (topic W 7)
Adapting it for different climatic zones and adding information similar to
the calendar above. The calendars will be essential for interpretation
of the monitoring data.
For those from Sahelian countries:
check this figure for the Sudanian zone, and prepare another
graph for the (northern and/or southern Sahelian climatic zone)
3.2 Agrometeorological definitions for the start and end of the growing
The table below summarizes the different criteria used in literature.
Most criteria are based on precipitation and evapotranspiration.
Q 5 Why is the ratio between precipitation and evapotranspiration often used
as indicator for the start/end of the growing season?
AUTHOR & COUNTRY
Virmani et al, 1982
decade in which p,(P=>1/3ETp)>0.7 (or 0.6 for northern part of the country) and if in the succeeding decade p,(P=>1/3ETp)>0.5 (or 0.4 for north)
decade in which p,(P=1/3ETp)<0.2 and if in the succeding decade p,(P=1/3ETp)< 0.1
Date after May 1, when P accumulated over 3 consecutive days is at least 20mm and when no dry spell within the next 30 days exceeds 7 days
Date after Sept. 1, following which no rain occured over a period of 20 days (approx. 2 dekads)
Coe and Stern, 1986
The first decade after April 1, with more than 20mm in a rain spell of 1 or two days.
First decade after Sept. 1, during which the water balance decreased to zero (derived from a simple water balance equation assuming water at field capacity of 100mm and evaporation rate of 5mm per day)
Henricksen and Durkin ,1985
Kassam et al, 1991
First decade when P=> 0.5 ETp
decade after the end of the humid period when (P100/ETp)<0.5 plus time required to evapotranspire stored soil moisture.
P=Precipitation, ETp=Potential evapotranspiration and p=probability
Criteria defined by Troll (1965) were made for climatic zone definitions (P>ETp), while others use a lower/ earlier precipitation threshold for defining the start of the crop growing season based on observation of farmers sowing dates.
Q 6 Which specific agro-meteorological criteria are used for the growing
season in your country ?
F If you dont know , apply criteria from general literature and try to obtain
more information from the meteorological office and agronomic research
3.3 NDVI definitions of the growing season
Several researchers developed methods for estimating the start and the end of the growing season using NDVI parameters. The underlying thought is that as soon as the vegetation starts growing, the NDVI will respond by positive NDVI increments between consecutive decade images. The principle of all these methods is that they measure a minimum increment or decrement over a certain period of time (delta NDVI or D NDVI)
Dry season level
1 dekads 36
Q 6 Where on this curve could you define the start and the end of the
and Durkin (1986) developed a method to estimate the start and the end of the
growing season in
(1993) defined the start of the growing season in
Ocatre (1997) adopted the following decision rules to define the end of the growing season:
· The NDVI end of the growing season should exclude NDVI decrements resulting from interruptions within the growing season. The first possible end was considered the average end of the humid period.
· There should be two consecutive NDVI decrements after the first possible end of the growing season.
Influence of land cover and land use type
The start and end of the growing season based on agrometeorological criteria is usually well defined for crops. The NDVI will measure crop development for those pixels which are dominated by agricultural fields. The main crop areas are in most cases associated with settlements or can be derived from a land use (intensity) map. The decision rules implemented on the basis of agro-meteorological criteria are therefore an indication of sowing dates.
In areas largely dominated by grass fallows or annual natural vegetation the NDVI will measure the cover of grasses. The NDVI curve and reaction of annual grasses to rainfall is similar to the one of crops, although crops sown late can show a delayed start of the growing season. In an area dominated by young fallows the NDVI curve is usually indicative of fallow and crop development.
Forested areas or areas dominated by dense bush or woodland can have quite a different phenological behaviour: an early greening, even before the first rains come, and a very gradual decrease of the NDVI after the rainy season.
In the following we assume, that the main crop areas are known , and that areas dominated by woody vegetation (like forest reserves) are excluded from the interpretation and calculation.
4. Mapping the start of the growing season in WinDisp
4.1 Decision rules
We will use rather simple criteria to define the start of the growing season in this course. It is up to users with a specific interest to develop more accurate county specific methods and calibrations. The basic idea presented here is however generally valid. We will apply the following criteria to calculate the start of the growing season:
· The growing season can only start after the first possible date, based on country specific climatic characteristics.
· There should be two consecutive positive NDVI increments.
There will be no bioclimatic stratification used. A stratified approach can be realized in a more general GIS (e.g. Idrisi, ILWIS).
We will use examples from
Q 8 What do you think about the date of the earliest possible real start ?
When do farmers start to sow in your country ? Optionally: are the
4.2 Implementing the decision rules with batch processing in WinDisp
The decision rules presented above can be implemented using batch processing. The principles of batch processing were described in topic W 6. We will first describe the implementation of the decision rules in general terms and then we step-by-step create a batch file which calculates the start of the growing season.
· We decided on the condition that there should be two consecutive NDVI increments. This can be realized by using the the @IF(A,B,C) function. In Process/Images/Algebra function. This function has three arguments: A,B and C (condition, then,else)
Argument A is the condition. In our case the condition is (img2 >img1)
(img3 >img2), where img1 to 3 are consecutive decadal NDVI images.
Argument B is the value which is assigned to the pixel of the output
image when the condition is met and
Argument C is the value which is assigned to the pixel when the
condition is not met.
· By applying the @IF function to each of the 12 decade images from the first possible decade onwards it is calculated for each pixel whether the start could have taken place or not. If the start has taken place according to the definition in a particular decade, the value corresponding to the number of the decade (decade nr.) is assigned to the pixel, if not (else), a value of 255 is given.
· Now we have 12 images which indicate for a pixel whether the start could have taken place in that decade or not. Now will use the Process/Series/Min function with the 12 images as input in a list file to create an image which displays the start of the growing season as the lowest decade number.
· a color table is produced or used to display the start of the growing season image (Topic W8). Keep in mind that WinDisp uses digital counts (DNs) to assign ranges of image values to colours.
Q 9 Why is the Process/Series/Min function used to calculate the final start
of the growing season image?
Q10 What does the condition ((img2 > img1) & (img3 >img2)) imply?
We illustrate this procedure using an example. The normal
start of the growing season in
We select the decade images relevant for the start of the growing season and copy
them to a work directory where we can rename them in a sequential order. When
the growing season starts within the calendar year this step is not necessary
We then start to record the batch file which calculates the start of the growing season images. This can be done with the Batch/Record function .
We will create 12 images (see above) by using a For/Next loop. So in the Batch menu we will now select Batch/Begin.
A variable name (e.g. decade) needs to be specified and we will make a loop from 27 to 38 in steps of 1. The images 39 and 40 are used , when the last image 38 is entered and compared to the image with dekad+1 and +2.
To implement the if-condition, we will need to compare three consecutive dekadal images . Specifying variable names for these dekads can be done by Batch/Variable Set. Three variables have to be specified:
-Variable A which is given the value %decade%
-Variable B which is given the value %dekad%+1
-Variable C which is given the value %dekad%+2
No we will stop recording the batch file by selecting the Batch/Stop function and further edit it manually. Now open the batch file using Batch/Edit. When the steps 1 to 4 are completed the batch file should look like:
Batch For Begin, "decade, 27, 38, 1"
Batch Variable Set, "A, %decade%"
Batch Variable Set, "B, %dekad%+1"
Batch Variable Set, "C, %dekad%+2"
Batch For End, ""
Insert the following line before the Batch For End line (fill in the appropriate pathnames):
Process Images Algebra, "@IF((img2>img1)&(img3>img2),%B%,255) ,C:\ .\stnor%B%.IMG,img2,C:\ \GS%B%.IMG,img1,C:\ .\GS%A%.IMG,img3,C:\ \GS%C%.IMG"
This line checks IF the condition described above is true and THEN assigns a value of %B% to the output image and ELSE a value of 255. The first parameter for this function is the name of the output image (c:\ \stnor%B%.img for the normal start decade image , and the other three parameters are the names of the variables for the input files (img2, img1 and img3). Then we have to save the batch file and play it (Batch/Play).
Now we can create the final start of the growing season image by using the Process/Series/Min function. As you may recall from topic W7, the Process/Series function requires a name of the output image and a list file with filenames in the first column. In this case the names of the 12 files generated by the batch file should be included in the file list.
F specify a logic name and directory for the output image
We then create a color table (see also topic W8) for the image. Remember that the values are area specific, and that for the Zimbabwe case a value of 28 means that the growing season has started in the first decade of October and 39 in the third decade of January (because of renumbering the january images). A value of 255 means that no start of the growing season has been measured. Create a color table which assigns blue and green colors to an early start, yellowish colors for a +/- normal starting date and red colors for a late start of the growing season (risk of crop failure).
The final result of this example is displayed below (wrong color table)
Q11 If you are familiar with
T 1 Create an image which displays the normal start of the growing season.
If you choose to work on your own country, carefully define decision
rules before: Earliest possible starting decade, based on your agricultural/
ecological knowledge. For
F Assume that the start will take place between the 2nd decade of April and the 3rd decade of July, so for the calculation you will need images from the 1st decade of April until the 1st decade of August (\databf\ndvi\avg10.img to \databf\ndvi\avg22.img)
F Use the steps
described above for the
F Step1: Skip step 1
F Step 3: make a loop from 10 to 20 in steps of 1.
F Step 7: Create a color table which is appropriate for the final output image. A value of 11 means the growing season has started in the 2nd decade of April and a value of 21 means the growing season has started the third decade of July.
F Display the image with color table created .
Q 12 Can you describe the difference between the start of the growing
season in the north of the country and in the south of the country?
5. Mapping an early or late start of the growing season
(Differences from normal)
A useful application for food security monitoring is the creation of a map which displays the difference from a normal start. So far we have calculated the start of the growing season based on historical average images. In a similar way you can create images which display the start of the growing season for a growing season of interest. You should exclude clouded pixel values or use cloud corrected images in this case. Cloud correction methods are covered in topic W 11.
With the images algebra function you can subtract the two images. The difference image created now displays the delay or the advance in dekads of the start of the growing season.
Q13 Why should you use cloud corrected images for estimate the start of
the growing season of a current year ?
T 2 Create an image which displays the difference from the normal start of
the growing season in the following way for a country of your choice:
F cope with cloud effects by choosing method a), b) or c)
cloud corrected images for
b) exclude clouds in computation by setting valid values to 2-255 in Process theshold (when using FEWS NDVI data)
apply a cloud
correction (see topic W11) to the images series (for
F Create an image which display the start of the growing season in 1996
by the same procedure as in task 1.
from the tutorial CD ROM,. Save the output images to a logical directory.
F Create the difference image with the Process/Images/Algebra function
typing in the difference equation:
The image created in task 1 is image B and the image created in the second step of this task is image A (save the output image with a logical name in a logic directory). You may also use another constant as 127 . It only assures, that no negative values occur in the output image. In this case, dont forget to adapt the color table below:
F Create a color table with the color table editor, like the one displayed below and display the created image using this color table:
Q14 Why is a value of 123 equal to a delay of the start of the growing
season of 5 dekads In this image ?
Q 15 Check the colour table: The basic idea is that a delay should beindicated by red colors and an early start in green colors. A normal start has been given neutral (grey or white) colors. Could you improve upon the color table that the degree of earlyness or delay is indicated more clearly ?
The image computed for
Q16 What can you conclude about the start of the growing season in 1996?
Q17 Could you think about a legend , which indicates maybe more clearly
whether there is a delay or an early start of the growing season ?
6. Mapping the end of the growing season in WinDisp
6.1 Decision rules
The end of the growing season can be estimated using a similar method as the calculation of the start of the growing season. We will use the same decision rules as Ocatre (1997), which can be easily implemented.
The NDVI end of
the growing season should exclude NDVI decrements resulting from interruptions
within the growing season. A first possible end of the growing season for
Burkina is decade 25 (1st decade of September) and for
· There should be two consecutive NDVI decrements after the first possible end of the growing season
Q18 Do you agree with these decision rules? If not, provide better ones.
6.2 Implementing the decision rules using batch processing in
The same procedure as discussed in 4.2 can be applied to
the end of the growing season using some slight modifications. We will
illustrate this procedure using an example; the calculation of the normal end
of the growing season in
In short the sequence of steps is the following (check for details the procedure for the start of the growing season, and the example batch file in W6 batches).
(1) We will need to select the images where the growing
season might end and copy them to a work directory where we can rename them
sequentially, if required (only if the year boundary is crossed). In the
Use the files of decade 4 to 15 (so that we can calculate a possible end in decade 4 to 13). However since we renamed the January images for the start of the growing season we will need to do the same for the end of the growing season: We rename all images to decade number + 36. Now the first decade 4 is 40 and decade 15 is 51.
(2) Then we prepare a batch file to calculate the end of the growing season image for the decades 40 to 49 in steps of 1. The images 50 and 51 are used, when the last image 49 is entered into the loop and compared to the image with dekad+1 and +2.
Batch for Begin, "decade, 40, 49, 1"
Batch Variable Set, "A, %decade%"
Batch Variable Set, "B, %dekad%+1"
Batch Variable Set, "C, %dekad%+2"
Process Images Algebra, "@IF((img2<img1)&(img3<img2),%B%,255) ,C:\ .\endnor%B%.IMG,img2,C:\ \GS%B%.IMG,img1,C:\ .\GS%A%.IMG,img3,C:\ \GS%C%.IMG"Batch For End, ""
Dont forget to enter the complete path name.
The batch program checks for the dekads 40 to 49 in steps of 1, whether the condition for the end of the growing season is fulfilled:
IF the condition (two consecutive NDVI decrements) is true, THEN
the value of %B% (for the end decade) is assigned to the output image. Else (when the condition is false) the value of 255 is given. The first parameter for this function is the name of the output image (c:\ \endnor%B%.img) for the decade of the end of the growing season and the other three parameters are the names of the input files (img2, img1 and img3).
After the batch file is created and played (Batch/Play), 10 output images are generated c:\ \endnor41.img todnor50.img, because of the loop we created. (The end is considered to be the second decrease image (variable B).
(3) Now we can create the final start of the growing season image by using the Process/Series/Min function. The list file with filenames in the first column should contain the names of the 10 files generated by the batch file.
(4) An appropriate color table is created, giving red colors to an early end
and green-blue for a late end. The colors should be in the opposite
sequence as those for the start of the growing season!!!
The result of this example is displayed below
Q 19 What is the earliest and latest normal end of the growing season in
T 3 Create
an image displaying the normal end of the growing season in
Step 1: There is no need to rename the images in this case since both the start and the end are in the middle of the growing season. So use the images \databf\ndvi\avg24.img to \databf\ndvi\avg34.img in the analysis.
Step 3: Make a loop from image 24 to 32.
7: Create a color table (with the color table editor) which pertains to
Q 20 In which decade does the growing season approximately end in the
north, middle and south of
explain the reasons ?
7. Mapping the length of the growing season in WinDisp
we can determine the length of the growing season by subtracting the start from
the end of the growing season. The length of the growing season can be an
important parameter in for example crop models. The length of the growing
season image in decades can now be calculated very easily using the Process/Images/Algebra function. The
length of the growing season can be also be displayed in days by setting the
image type in Process header to user defined and the slope to 10 (image values are multiplied by 10 for 10
days per decade). You will of course also have to create a color table for the
length of the growing season image. The image below displays the normal length
of the growing season in
This normal image does not show many differences .
T 4 Create a color table and legend which displays more differences
In the range of 90 to 180 days.
Q 21 Are you familiar with crop varieties ? If yes, compare the normal
length of the growing season with the length of crop cycles.
Also compare the values to the crop calendar. If you dont agree
With the results of computation, improve upon decision rules used.
T 5 If you want to better understand the significance and reliability of the
product, compare the result with images downloaded from the ADDS
· go to the ADDS server , data themes digital map data
· download *.gif files of relevant thematic maps : Land use intensity (see next page), agro-climatic zones etc. You can do this after
viewing them in Netscape by saving them using the right mouse
button. You can also import these *.gif files into a Word document
using insert picture.
T 6 Create an image displaying the normal length of the growing season of
your country. For
and T 3 (end). Verify the results with crop calendars, climatic data etc.
you will now be send back to the main structure of the course
R. and Stern, R.D., 1988. Methods for the Characterization of Variability of
Weather and Climate in Time and Space. Agricultural Environments; Characterization, Classification
and Mapping; Proceedings of the
Coulibaly, O (1995), Mise au point du cadre danalyse du système dalerte précoce, Projet de sécurité alimentaire et de nutrition ,PSAN/2414/BUR/06/92, Volume II, MARA, SG, DSAP, Ouagadougou
Diallo, A.A. & O.M. Turpeinen (1988): Estimation de la pluviometrie pentadaire au Burkina faso, par lindice de précipitation ESOC (EPI); ESA journal 11 (1987) = 12 (1988), 68 pps
Diepen,Van c. a., Rappoldt, c., Wolf j. and van Keulen, h., 1988. CWFS crop growth simulation model Wofost documentation version 4.1 centre for world food studies Amsterdam-Wageningen
FAO (1978): Report on the Agro-Ecological Zones
Project. Vol.1 Methodology and Results for
FEWS/BF (1993): An index to characterize temporal patterns in NDVI at the end of the growing season, draft internal report
Groten,S.M.E., 1993 NDVI- Crop Monitoring
and early yield assessment of
Hagenzieker, F., 1985, Traditional Small Grain Production in West African
Henricksen, .B,L.,and Durkin, J.W.1985; Moisture availability, Cropping Period and Prospects for Early Warning of Famine in Ethiopia;HCA Bulletin 21,Jan.1985
Henricksen, .B,L.,and Durkin, J.W.,1986; Growing period and Drought early warning in Africa using satellite data; Int.J.Remote Sensing 1986. vol.7,No 11 pp. 1583-1608.
M.J. & K.R. Stockinger (1972): The effect of
planting date on the growth and yield of
Kassam,A.H. & D.J. Andrews (1975):
Effects of sowing date on growth, development and yield of photosensitive sorghum
Kassam et al; 1991,
Martini,M. (1993) Methodologie pour déterminer des zones à risque pour les cultures céréalieres.
Ouedraogo, A., 1995; Monitoring the start of the crop growing period for food security- GIS modelling of NOAA-Vegetation Index Time series for Food Security Early Warning In Burkina Faso Msc-Thesis ITC, Netherlands 79 pps
Nijhuis and Groten (1997) TNO/ITC Project proposal to SRON/BCRS for use of NDVI assessment of LGP for climatic modelling of Ozone production (LOTUS)
Ocatre, R.. (1997): Agroecologic stratification and
monitoring of the growing season with NOAA -NDVI assessment of the growing
season parameters in
Rosema, A. (1990): Meteosat derived
evapotranspiration and biomass monitoring in the Sahel
, G.W. (1976): Dry and wet spells. UNDP/FAO Tun Razak agricultural research center , Tekam
Sivakumar, M.V. K. and Gnoumou (1987): Agroclimatology
of West Africa:
Sivakumar, M.V.K. et al. (1988)
Predicting rainy season potential from the onset of rains in Southern sahelian and Sudanian climatic
Sivakumar, M.V.K.1990 Exploiting rainy season potential from onset of rains in
the sahelian zones of
Sivakumar, M.V.K. (1992) Empirical analysis of dry spells for agricultural
Townshend, J.R.G. & C.O. Justice (1986): Analysis of the dynamics of African vegetation using the normalized difference vegetation index. in: Int. J. of Rem. Sens. 7, no 11, 1435 - 1445
Troll, C., 1965; Seasonal Climates of the Earth.In: Rodenwaldt and Jusatz,H,J (Eds.), World Maps of climatology.
Virmani, S.M., Sivakumar,
M.V.K. and Reddy , S.J. (1982): Rainfall probability estimates for selected
locations of semi-arid
 For this topic use is made of an article submitted to the Int. J. of Remote Sensing:
Groten,S.M.E. & Robert Ocatre: Monitoring the length of the growing season with NOAA
 compare with topic W 4
 If a calendar is made not (only) for crops but describes the appearance (phenology) of natural
vegetation , animal behavior, human activities or other information, we call the calendar a
Start not earlier than dekad 14 in the
in the southern sudanian zone
 at least 0.003 / dekad for the sahelian zone, 0.016 for the north sudanian zone and 0.023 for
the south sudanian zone and
The first possible end
was determined as dekad 27 for the
the south sudanian zone
 For advanced applications ,e.g. crop models, the estimated % of fields can be taken into account in
NDVI data extraction , e.g. Krause (1993), Groten (1997).
 If you dont want to learn to create a batch file yourself, you may use and edit an existing batch file
(see W 6 batches).
 It can be argued that the normal start image should not be calculated from the average historical
profile, but independently for each year and then averaged. You certainly need batch programming
capabilities to do this ! So lets keep things simple and only complicate if really required.
 With Process Threshold you can set valid FEWS values to 2-255, thereby excluding pixel values of 0
and 1 reserved for clouds. Always reset thresholds to 0-0 (= default) values after processing
 see topic W 11
 This formula practically corresponds to the one implemented for WinDisp difference images
(256+A-B)/2. See formula in WinDisp help function.
 Choosing a constant of 100 would have the advantage, that original values can be recognized more
easily , e.g. a difference of +10 digital NDVI values would give 110 (change color table then).
 find the
directory and rename them to EGS4 to EGS15